Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.341515 0.451153 0.571308 0.710723 0.866199 1.032670 1.222889
2025-06-08 0.171228 0.305249 0.472065 0.684094 0.937695 1.224325 1.566566
2025-06-15 0.106309 0.246954 0.440342 0.701375 1.026661 1.405145 1.867139
2025-06-22 0.056671 0.189762 0.396182 0.692739 1.076927 1.535664 2.106263
2025-06-29 0.024546 0.141405 0.351557 0.673512 1.106122 1.634703 2.302863
2025-07-06 0.013200 0.125610 0.351259 0.711290 1.205560 1.817360 2.597578
2025-07-13 0.006776 0.115645 0.357595 0.756647 1.313690 2.009972 2.903769
2025-07-20 0.002562 0.105331 0.360775 0.795915 1.412844 2.190891 3.195553
2025-07-27 0.001309 0.106426 0.384244 0.865177 1.552164 2.422245 3.548866
2025-08-03 0.000164 0.100000 0.391963 0.909867 1.657903 2.611170 3.850461
2025-08-10 NaN 0.083433 0.376232 0.916672 1.710873 2.732588 4.068947
2025-08-17 NaN 0.055441 0.327981 0.867803 1.684154 2.750423 4.158459
2025-08-24 NaN 0.031214 0.277596 0.812551 1.649313 2.761128 4.244874
2025-08-31 NaN 0.018214 0.248066 0.788908 1.657736 2.827256 4.400272
2025-09-07 NaN 0.013401 0.242283 0.806109 1.724746 2.969629 4.650684
2025-09-14 NaN 0.007169 0.223507 0.797213 1.752017 3.058714 4.833464
2025-09-21 NaN 0.002421 0.200091 0.776394 1.759696 3.120550 4.980856
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002014 0.207668 0.817095 1.861117 3.308579 5.289299
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001979 0.219136 0.865820 1.975002 3.513616 5.619708
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001692 0.227371 0.907937 2.078796 3.705143 5.933027
2025-10-19 NaN 0.002689 0.251109 0.982060 2.232080 3.963808 6.332476
2025-10-26 NaN 0.002582 0.261977 1.029791 2.344783 4.167704 6.662031
2025-11-02 NaN 0.001095 0.253338 1.037052 2.394958 4.286952 6.883299